AI agents · company adoption · investment theses

Field notes on AI and markets.

Practical thinking on how companies should actually use AI — and what that means for investors.

This is the place for sharper essays, operating playbooks, and thesis notes at the intersection of AI agents, real companies, capital allocation, commodities, digital assets, and physical constraints.

Editorial stance

Less AI theatre. More operating leverage.

The useful question is not “can AI do this task?” It is: can a company redesign a workflow so that agents, people, data, and controls produce a better economic system?

I want to write from the operator-investor perspective: where the technology really works, where adoption gets stuck, and where the second-order market opportunities appear.

These notes are part of a broader proof system: market research, operating experience, and AI-native workflows connected into public artifacts. The Proof Index maps the whole system; the AI Operating System case study explains the agent workflow behind it.

  • Concrete implementation patterns for SMEs, funds, operators, and founder-led companies.
  • Investment theses around AI infrastructure, vertical software, labour substitution, energy demand, and market structure.
  • Practical frameworks that can become memos, diligence questions, or special-project roadmaps.
01

Research map: why the notes connect.

Gavin Moore research map A knowledge graph showing how mining research links to uranium, power, AI infrastructure, company adoption, capital allocation, and operating systems. Uranium fuel + supply risk Copper ore bodies + capex Power grids + baseload AI buildout compute + demand Agents workflow leverage Data centres load growth Energy security Permitting time Capital expression risk Markets pricing + cycles
02

Published notes and essay pipeline

Copper / AI Infrastructure

Copper: the 18-year problem

A field note on copper's structural demand shock, hidden supply bottlenecks, and why Ivanhoe Mines is a clean expression of the thesis.

Published · strategic commodities
AI / Investing

AI is not just software — it is a new operating layer

Why the investable question is not only model quality, but distribution, workflow ownership, proprietary data, trust, compliance, and switching costs.

Draft memo · AI + vertical software
Energy / Strategic Commodities

Uranium: when supply needs everything to go right

A trial field note on uranium, energy security, supply fragility, and the danger of being right on a commodity thesis but wrong on the expression.

Published · public format test
Company Playbook

The boring-company AI stack

What an AI operating system looks like for companies that do not have research labs: inbox, CRM, documents, finance ops, reporting, and knowledge workflows.

Playbook · systems design
Markets / Crypto

Stablecoins after MiCA: where Europe may matter

How regulation, distribution, banking rails, treasury management, and cross-border settlement could create European opportunities.

Draft memo · digital assets / Europe
Diligence

Questions I ask before believing an AI startup

A diligence checklist for separating wrappers from workflow ownership: user pain, data rights, gross margins, implementation burden, and defensibility.

Framework · investment analysis
03

Agent adoption framework

1 · Workflow first

Start with a costly repeated workflow, not a model. Map inputs, decisions, exceptions, tools, and owners.

2 · Data access

Agents need useful context: documents, CRM, inbox, calendars, databases, and permissioned company knowledge.

3 · Control points

Define what the agent can do alone, what requires review, and where audit logs or approvals are mandatory.

4 · Economic test

Measure time saved, throughput, error reduction, sales conversion, working-capital impact, or faster decision cycles.

5 · Org design

The winning companies will redesign roles around agent leverage rather than bolt chatbots onto existing processes.

6 · Investment lens

Look for companies that own distribution, proprietary workflow data, trust, compliance, and the system of record.

Let’s compare notes.

If you are trying to use agents inside a company, diligence an AI opportunity, or think through the market implications, I would be glad to speak.